What long term political trends were revealed through the results of Mexico’s recent elections? While the ruling party did maintain control as expected, Mexico Institute Director Duncan Wood tells us that there were still surprises in the details of the results. And some of those surprises go beyond the unexpected victory of the independent candidate known as “El Bronco.” That’s the focus of this edition of Wilson Center NOW.
If you missed our event yesterday, check the broadcast here:
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When: May 18, 2015 // 9:30am — 11:00am
Where: 6th Floor, Woodrow Wilson Center
Register here: http://bit.ly/1zTBtSe
The Wilson Center’s Mexico Institute is pleased to invite you to an event on Mexico’s 2015 midterm elections. On June 7, 2015, more than 86 million Mexicans will have the opportunity to elect 500 federal deputies, 17 state-level legislatures, 9 governors, and more than 300 mayors. This new cohort of legislators will replace the group that approved the major reforms proposed by President Enrique Peña Nieto during the first year of his administration. The new Chamber of Deputies will be crucial for the second half of Peña Nieto’s term in office; finding room for negotiation may prove increasingly difficult as the presidential succession nears.
These elections represent a battle in which the PRI seeks to stay strong despite the President’s low approval ratings. Meanwhile, the PAN and the PRD are trying to overcome internal divisions and emerge stronger. The PRD’s internal challenges became external with the recent founding of MORENA, led by Andrés Manuel López Obrador, which is emerging as a viable option for voters on the left. In fact, MORENA will be competing head to head with the Green Party (PVEM) to be the fourth national political force.
Political Analyst and Professor, Instituto Tecnológico Autónomo de México
Luis Carlos Ugalde
Director General, Integralia Consultores
Director, Mexico Institute, Wilson Center
On June 7th 2015, Mexicans will take to the polls to elect 500 federal deputies, 17 state-level legislatures, 9 governors, and more than 300 mayors. This year´s election is also, of course, a litmus test of public opinion regarding the PRI government of President Enrique Peña Nieto. Much has been made of the President´s low public approval rating, but his party remains the most popular in the eyes of the Mexican electorate, with around 32% in a recent poll. If one adds in the support for the PRI´s coalition partner Green Party, that figure quickly approaches 40%, potentially sufficient to give the governing coalition another majority in the Chamber of Deputies.
The Wilson Center´s Mexico Institute is marking this historic election by launching a new web resource that brings latest polling numbers, analysis and opinion to our readers. The Mexico Institute’s 2015 Elections Guide will be updated daily and will provide a one-stop shop for English language information on the vote.
We hope you enjoy the new resource, and please send us your comments and suggestions so that we can improve the service.
*This post has been modified to correct a statement regarding the ability to reelect members of the Mexican Congress. The reform allowing limited reelection will apply to the deputies and senators elected in the federal elections of 2018, not this election.